Free, step-by-step Class 12 Maths NCERT Solutions for Chapter 13 Ex 13.1 — all 17 questions solved, applying the conditional probability formula P(E|F) = P(E ∩ F) / P(F) both algebraically and directly from a sample space.
Questions 1–5 work directly from the conditional probability formula using given numeric probabilities — substitute the known values and rearrange to find an unknown like P(A∪B) or P(B|A), with no sample space needed. Questions 6–13 shift to computing P(E|F) from an actual equally-likely sample space — coin tosses, dice throws, a family line-up, and a question bank — where you list the outcomes of E and F directly and count them. Questions 14 and 15 test two genuinely different scenarios: a reduced sample space (only outcomes where the two dice show different numbers) and a two-stage experiment (a die, followed by either a second die or a coin) where spotting which outcomes can actually satisfy both events prevents a wrong answer. The exercise closes with two MCQs on the formal properties of conditional probability itself — what P(A|B) equals when P(B) = 0, and what P(A|B) = P(B|A) tells you about A and B.
By the definition P(E|F)=\dfrac{P(E\cap F)}{P(F)}, so P(E|F)=\dfrac{0.2}{0.3}=\dfrac{2}{3}.
Similarly, P(F|E)=\dfrac{P(E\cap F)}{P(E)}=\dfrac{0.2}{0.6}=\dfrac{1}{3}.
P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac{0.32}{0.5}=0.64.
(i) From P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}, P(A\cap B)=P(A)\cdot P(B|A)=0.8\times0.4=0.32.
(ii) P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac{0.32}{0.5}=0.64.
(iii) P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)=0.8+0.5-0.32=0.98.
From 2P(A)=\dfrac{5}{13}, P(A)=\dfrac{5}{26}, and P(B)=\dfrac{5}{13}.
P(A\cap B)=P(B)\cdot P(A|B)=\dfrac{5}{13}\times\dfrac{2}{5}=\dfrac{2}{13}.
P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)=\dfrac{5}{26}+\dfrac{10}{26}-\dfrac{4}{26}=\dfrac{11}{26}.
(i) P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)=\dfrac{6}{11}+\dfrac{5}{11}-\dfrac{7}{11}=\dfrac{4}{11}.
(ii) P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac{4/11}{5/11}=\dfrac{4}{5}.
(iii) P(B|A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\dfrac{4/11}{6/11}=\dfrac{2}{3}.
The sample space has 8 equally likely outcomes: HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT, each with probability \dfrac18.
(i) E=\{HHH,HTH,THH,TTH\}, so P(E)=\dfrac12. F=\{HHH,HHT\}, so P(F)=\dfrac14.
E\cap F=\{HHH\}, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac18. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/8}{1/4}=\dfrac12.
(ii) E=\{HHH,HHT,HTH,THH\}, P(E)=\dfrac12. F excludes only TTT, so P(F)=\dfrac78.
E\cap F is exactly-two-heads outcomes \{HHT,HTH,THH\}, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac38. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{3/8}{7/8}=\dfrac37.
(iii) E excludes only TTT, so P(E)=\dfrac78. F excludes only HHH, so P(F)=\dfrac78.
E\cap F excludes both HHH and TTT, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac68. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{6/8}{7/8}=\dfrac67.
The sample space is S=\{HH,HT,TH,TT\}, each with probability \dfrac14.
(i) E=\{HT,TH\} and F=\{HT,TH\}, so E\cap F=\{HT,TH\}. Then P(E)=P(F)=P(E\cap F)=\dfrac12, giving P(E|F)=1.
(ii) E=\{HH\} and F=\{TT\}, so E\cap F=\varnothing and P(E\cap F)=0. Since P(F)=\dfrac14\neq0, P(E|F)=0.
The sample space has 6^3=216 equally likely outcomes. E fixes only the third toss as 4, so n(E)=6\times6\times1=36 and P(E)=\dfrac{36}{216}=\dfrac16.
F fixes the first two tosses as 6 and 5, with the third toss free, so n(F)=6 and P(F)=\dfrac{6}{216}=\dfrac{1}{36}.
E\cap F=\{(6,5,4)\}, a single outcome, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac{1}{216}. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/216}{6/216}=\dfrac16.
There are 3!=6 equally likely line-ups: MFS, MSF, FMS, FSM, SMF, SFM (M = mother, F = father, S = son).
E (son at either end) is \{SMF,SFM,MFS,FMS\}, so P(E)=\dfrac46=\dfrac23.
F (father in the middle) is \{MFS,SFM\}, so P(F)=\dfrac26=\dfrac13.
E\cap F=\{MFS,SFM\} — both father-in-middle arrangements already have the son on an end — so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac26=\dfrac13. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/3}{1/3}=1.
(a) Given the black die shows 5, the red die can be any of 1–6 (6 equally likely outcomes). Sum > 9 needs red > 4, i.e. red = 5 or 6 — 2 favourable outcomes. So the conditional probability is \dfrac26=\dfrac13.
(b) Given the red die shows a number less than 4 (1, 2 or 3), there are 3\times6=18 equally likely outcomes for (black, red). Sum = 8 with red < 4 needs (black, red) = (7,1) — impossible — (6,2) or (5,3), giving 2 favourable outcomes. So the conditional probability is \dfrac{2}{18}=\dfrac19.
P(E)=\dfrac36=\dfrac12, P(F)=\dfrac26=\dfrac13, P(G)=\dfrac46=\dfrac23.
(i) E\cap F=\{3\}, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac16. Then P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/6}{1/3}=\dfrac12 and P(F|E)=\dfrac{1/6}{1/2}=\dfrac13.
(ii) E\cap G=\{3,5\}, so P(E\cap G)=\dfrac26=\dfrac13. Then P(E|G)=\dfrac{1/3}{2/3}=\dfrac12 and P(G|E)=\dfrac{1/3}{1/2}=\dfrac23.
(iii) E\cup F=\{1,2,3,5\}, so (E\cup F)\cap G=\{2,3,5\} and P((E\cup F)\cap G)=\dfrac36=\dfrac12, giving P((E\cup F)|G)=\dfrac{1/2}{2/3}=\dfrac34.
Also (E\cap F)\cap G=\{3\}\cap G=\{3\}, so P((E\cap F)\cap G)=\dfrac16, giving P((E\cap F)|G)=\dfrac{1/6}{2/3}=\dfrac14.
Writing each outcome as (elder, younger), the sample space is S=\{bb,bg,gb,gg\}, each with probability \dfrac14. Let E=\{gg\} be "both are girls."
(i) "Youngest is a girl" is F=\{bg,gg\}, so P(F)=\dfrac12.
E\cap F=\{gg\}, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac14. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/4}{1/2}=\dfrac12.
(ii) "At least one is a girl" is F=\{bg,gb,gg\}, so P(F)=\dfrac34.
E\cap F=\{gg\}, so P(E\cap F)=\dfrac14. Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{1/4}{3/4}=\dfrac13.
Let E: "the question is easy" and F: "the question is multiple-choice." There are 500+400=900 multiple-choice questions in total, of which 500 are easy.
Since every outcome here is equally likely, P(E|F) is simply the proportion of multiple-choice questions that are easy: P(E|F)=\dfrac{500}{900}=\dfrac59.
Let F: "the two numbers appearing are different." Out of the 36 outcomes of two dice, the 6 doubles are excluded, leaving n(F)=30 equally likely outcomes, so P(F)=\dfrac{30}{36}=\dfrac56.
Let E: "the sum is 4." The pairs summing to 4 are (1,3), (2,2) and (3,1); since (2,2) has equal numbers, it doesn't lie in F, leaving only (1,3) and (3,1) in E\cap F. So P(E\cap F)=\dfrac{2}{36}=\dfrac{1}{18}.
Thus P(E|F)=\dfrac{P(E\cap F)}{P(F)}=\dfrac{1/18}{5/6}=\dfrac{1}{18}\times\dfrac65=\dfrac{1}{15}.
The multiples of 3 on a die are 3 and 6, so a second die throw happens only when the first throw is 3 or 6; for any other first throw (1, 2, 4 or 5), a coin is tossed instead — and no second die is involved in that branch.
Let F: "at least one die shows a 3." This can only happen inside the die-die branch — either the first throw is 3 (any second throw), or the first throw is 6 and the second throw is 3. So P(F)=\dfrac16+\dfrac{1}{36}=\dfrac{7}{36}.
Let E: "the coin shows a tail." This event can only occur in the branch where the first throw is 1, 2, 4 or 5 — a branch that, by definition, never shows a 3 on any die. So E and F share no outcomes at all: E\cap F=\varnothing, giving P(E\cap F)=0.
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The conditional probability formula P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)} requires P(B)\neq0. Since P(B)=0 here, division by zero makes the expression not defined — no numerical value can be assigned.
Writing out both sides, P(A|B)=P(B|A) means \dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}. Provided P(A\cap B)\neq0, this can be cancelled to give P(A)=P(B) — the events need not be equal as sets, only equally likely.
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