Unit 5: Probability - Free Study Resources | Boundless Maths
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Topics Covered in Unit 5

Master these 5 key topics as per the CBSE Class 11 Applied Maths Syllabus

1. Random Experiment & Sample Space

Definition of random experiment, sample space as set of all possible outcomes, examples

2. Events

Impossible and sure events, independent and dependent events, mutually exclusive and exhaustive events, and their probabilities

3. Conditional Probability

P(E|F) = P(E∩F)/P(F), multiplication theorem, properties and applications of conditional probability

4. Independent Events

Definition of independence, P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B), checking independence, difference from mutually exclusive events

Practice MCQs with Answers (27 MCQs + 3 Assertion-Reason)

Covers all topics: sample space, events, conditional probability & independence · Click "Show Answer" to reveal

Question 1
A coin is tossed three times. The sample space S has how many elements?
(a) 4
(b) 6
(c) 8
(d) 9
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 8
Solution:
Each toss has 2 outcomes (H or T). For 3 tosses: 2³ = 8 elements in the sample space.
Question 2
Two dice are rolled simultaneously. The number of elements in the sample space is:
(a) 12
(b) 18
(c) 36
(d) 64
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 36
Solution:
Each die has 6 outcomes. Rolling two dice: 6 × 6 = 36 ordered pairs in sample space.
Question 3
An event which can never occur is called a/an:
(a) Sure event
(b) Impossible event
(c) Mutually exclusive event
(d) Exhaustive event
✓ Correct Answer: (b) Impossible event
Solution:
An impossible event has probability 0 and is represented by the empty set ∅. For example, getting a 7 when a die is rolled.
Question 4
If P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/4 and P(A∩B) = 1/12, then P(A|B) is:
(a) 1/3
(b) 1/4
(c) 1/2
(d) 3/4
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 1/3
Solution:
P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = (1/12)/(1/4) = (1/12) × 4 = 1/3
Question 5
If A and B are mutually exclusive events, then P(A∩B) is:
(a) P(A) × P(B)
(b) P(A) + P(B)
(c) 1
(d) 0
✓ Correct Answer: (d) 0
Solution:
Mutually exclusive events cannot occur simultaneously. Therefore A∩B = ∅ and P(A∩B) = 0.
Question 6
If A and B are independent events, then P(A∩B) is:
(a) P(A) + P(B)
(b) P(A) × P(B)
(c) P(A) − P(B)
(d) P(A)/P(B)
✓ Correct Answer: (b) P(A) × P(B)
Solution:
By the definition of independent events: P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B).
Question 7
If P(A) = 0.4 and P(B|A) = 0.5, then P(A∩B) is:
(a) 0.08
(b) 0.2
(c) 0.5
(d) 0.9
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 0.2
Solution:
By multiplication theorem: P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B|A) = 0.4 × 0.5 = 0.2
Question 8
A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. The probability of drawing a king given that it is a face card is:
(a) 1/13
(b) 1/4
(c) 1/3
(d) 4/52
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 1/3
Solution:
Face cards = {Jack, Queen, King} × 4 suits = 12 cards. Kings = 4 cards.
P(King | Face card) = 4/12 = 1/3
Question 9
A bag has 4 white and 6 black balls. Two balls are drawn without replacement. Given the first ball drawn is white, the probability the second is also white is:
(a) 4/10
(b) 3/9
(c) 4/9
(d) 2/5
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 3/9
Solution:
After drawing one white ball, 3 white and 6 black balls remain (9 total).
P(2nd white | 1st white) = 3/9 = 1/3
Question 10
A bag contains 3 red and 5 black balls. Two balls are drawn one after the other without replacement. The probability that both are red is:
(a) 3/28
(b) 3/56
(c) 9/64
(d) 3/8
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 3/28
Solution:
P(1st red) = 3/8. P(2nd red | 1st red) = 2/7.
P(both red) = (3/8) × (2/7) = 6/56 = 3/28
Question 11
Events A and B are exhaustive if:
(a) A∩B = ∅
(b) A∪B = S (sample space)
(c) P(A) + P(B) = 0
(d) A = B
✓ Correct Answer: (b) A∪B = S (sample space)
Solution:
Events are exhaustive when their union covers the entire sample space S, meaning at least one of them must occur.
Question 12
If P(A) = 2/5, P(B) = 3/10, and A and B are independent events, then P(A∪B) is:
(a) 11/25
(b) 3/5
(c) 3/25
(d) 7/10
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 3/5
Solution:
P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B) = (2/5)(3/10) = 6/50 = 3/25
P(A∪B) = 2/5 + 3/10 − 3/25 = 20/50 + 15/50 − 6/50 = 29/50 → approx. 3/5
Exact: 29/50
Question 13
P(A') (complement of A) is equal to:
(a) P(A)
(b) 1 + P(A)
(c) 1 − P(A)
(d) 0
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 1 − P(A)
Solution:
Since A and A' are mutually exclusive and exhaustive: P(A) + P(A') = 1 → P(A') = 1 − P(A)
Question 14
If P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3 and A, B are independent events, then P(A∩B) is:
(a) 1/2
(b) 1/3
(c) 1/6
(d) 5/6
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 1/6
Solution:
For independent events: P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B) = (1/2)(1/3) = 1/6
Question 15
P(B|A) is defined when:
(a) P(A) = 0
(b) P(A) ≠ 0
(c) P(B) = 0
(d) P(B) ≠ 0
✓ Correct Answer: (b) P(A) ≠ 0
Solution:
P(B|A) = P(A∩B)/P(A). This is defined only when the conditioning event A has non-zero probability, i.e. P(A) ≠ 0.
Question 16
A fair die is thrown once. The probability of getting a prime number is:
(a) 1/6
(b) 1/3
(c) 1/2
(d) 2/3
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 1/2
Solution:
Prime numbers on a die: {2, 3, 5} → 3 outcomes out of 6. P = 3/6 = 1/2
Question 17
If P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.4, P(A∩B) = 0.2, then P(A|B) is:
(a) 0.4
(b) 0.5
(c) 0.2
(d) 0.8
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 0.5
Solution:
P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = 0.2/0.4 = 0.5
Question 18
Two cards are drawn one by one without replacement from a pack of 52. The probability that the second card is a king, given the first was also a king, is:
(a) 4/52
(b) 3/51
(c) 1/13
(d) 1/17
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 3/51
Solution:
After drawing one king, 3 kings remain in 51 cards.
P(2nd king | 1st king) = 3/51 = 1/17
Question 19
A card is drawn from a pack of 52. What is the probability that it is either a heart or a king?
(a) 17/52
(b) 4/13
(c) 16/52
(d) 30/52
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 4/13
Solution:
P(Heart) = 13/52, P(King) = 4/52, P(Heart ∩ King) = 1/52 (King of Hearts)
P(Heart ∪ King) = 13/52 + 4/52 − 1/52 = 16/52 = 4/13
Question 20
If A ⊂ B, then P(A|B) is:
(a) P(A)/P(B)
(b) P(B)/P(A)
(c) P(A)·P(B)
(d) 1
✓ Correct Answer: (a) P(A)/P(B)
Solution:
If A ⊂ B, then A∩B = A. So P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = P(A)/P(B).
Question 21
From a group of 3 boys and 2 girls, two students are selected at random. The probability that at least one is a girl is:
(a) 3/10
(b) 7/10
(c) 1/10
(d) 9/10
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 7/10
Solution:
Total ways = ⁵C₂ = 10. Ways with no girl (both boys) = ³C₂ = 3.
P(at least one girl) = 1 − 3/10 = 7/10
Question 22
A speaks truth in 60% and B in 80% of cases. The probability that they will contradict each other in stating a fact is:
(a) 0.36
(b) 0.44
(c) 0.48
(d) 0.52
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 0.44
Solution:
Contradiction occurs when one tells truth and other lies.
P = P(A truth)·P(B lie) + P(A lie)·P(B truth)
= (0.6)(0.2) + (0.4)(0.8) = 0.12 + 0.32 = 0.44
Question 23
For two events A and B, P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3. If A and B are mutually exclusive, then P(A∪B) is:
(a) 1/6
(b) 5/6
(c) 2/3
(d) 5/12
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 5/6
Solution:
For mutually exclusive events: P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) = 1/2 + 1/3 = 3/6 + 2/6 = 5/6
Question 24
An urn contains 6 red, 4 blue, and 2 green balls. A ball is drawn at random. The probability of drawing a non-red ball is:
(a) 1/2
(b) 1/3
(c) 2/3
(d) 3/4
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 1/2
Solution:
Total = 12 balls. Red = 6. Non-red = 6. P(non-red) = 6/12 = 1/2
Question 25
If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.3 and P(B) = 0.4, then P(A' ∩ B') is:
(a) 0.12
(b) 0.42
(c) 0.58
(d) 0.70
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 0.42
Solution:
Since A and B are independent, A' and B' are also independent.
P(A') = 0.7, P(B') = 0.6
P(A'∩B') = P(A') × P(B') = 0.7 × 0.6 = 0.42
Question 26
If P(A) = 0.6 and P(A∩B) = 0.3, then P(B|A) is:
(a) 0.18
(b) 0.3
(c) 0.5
(d) 2
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 0.5
Solution:
P(B|A) = P(A∩B)/P(A) = 0.3/0.6 = 0.5
Question 27
A die is thrown twice. Given that the sum of outcomes is 8, the probability that both outcomes were 4 is:
(a) 1/5
(b) 1/6
(c) 1/36
(d) 5/36
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 1/5
Solution:
Ways to get sum 8: {(2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2)} → 5 outcomes.
Favourable (both 4): {(4,4)} → 1 outcome.
P(both 4 | sum = 8) = 1/5

📋 Assertion-Reason Questions

Statement I is the Assertion (A) and Statement II is the Reason (R). Choose:

  • (a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
  • (b) Both A and R are True but R is not the correct explanation of A
  • (c) A is True but R is False
  • (d) A is False but R is True
Assertion-Reason 1
Assertion (A): If A and B are mutually exclusive events, they cannot be independent.
Reason (R): For independent events, P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B), while for mutually exclusive events P(A∩B) = 0.
(a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
(b) Both A and R are True but R is not the correct explanation of A
(c) A is True but R is False
(d) A is False but R is True
✓ Correct Answer: (a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
Solution:
If A and B are mutually exclusive (P(A∩B) = 0), they can be independent only if P(A) = 0 or P(B) = 0. So for non-trivial events, they cannot be both mutually exclusive and independent. R correctly explains A.
Assertion-Reason 2
Assertion (A): The probability of the sample space S is always 1.
Reason (R): The sample space S is a sure event, meaning it contains all possible outcomes of the experiment.
(a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
(b) Both A and R are True but R is not the correct explanation of A
(c) A is True but R is False
(d) A is False but R is True
✓ Correct Answer: (a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
Solution:
P(S) = 1 because the sample space represents the event that some outcome occurs, which is certain. R correctly explains why A is true.
Assertion-Reason 3
Assertion (A): If P(A|B) = P(A), then A and B are dependent events.
Reason (R): When occurrence of B does not affect probability of A, the events are independent.
(a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
(b) Both A and R are True but R is not the correct explanation of A
(c) A is True but R is False
(d) A is False but R is True
✓ Correct Answer: (d) A is False but R is True
Solution:
If P(A|B) = P(A), it means B's occurrence doesn't affect A → they are INDEPENDENT, not dependent. A is false. R is correctly stated.

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Short Answer Questions with Step-by-Step Solutions

Practice 2-mark and 3-mark questions

Question 1
A coin is tossed twice. Write the sample space and find the probability of getting exactly one head.
Solution:
S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}; n(S) = 4
Event A (exactly one head) = {HT, TH}; n(A) = 2
P(A) = 2/4 = 1/2
P(exactly one head) = 1/2
Question 2
If P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.5 and P(A∩B) = 0.35, find P(A|B) and P(B|A).
Solution:
P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = 0.35/0.5 = 0.7
P(B|A) = P(A∩B)/P(A) = 0.35/0.6 = 7/12 ≈ 0.583
P(A|B) = 0.7, P(B|A) = 7/12
Question 3
A bag contains 4 red and 6 black balls. Two balls are drawn one by one with replacement. Find the probability that both are red.
Solution:
P(red on 1st draw) = 4/10 = 2/5
Since draws are with replacement, P(red on 2nd) = 2/5
P(both red) = (2/5) × (2/5) = 4/25
P(both red) = 4/25
Question 4
Prove that if A and B are independent events, then A' and B are also independent.
Solution:
P(A'∩B) = P(B) − P(A∩B)
Since A and B are independent: P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B)
P(A'∩B) = P(B) − P(A)·P(B) = P(B)[1 − P(A)] = P(B)·P(A')
Since P(A'∩B) = P(A')·P(B), A' and B are independent. ✓
Question 5
A die is thrown. Event A = {1, 2, 3}, Event B = {3, 4, 5}. Check if A and B are independent.
Solution:
P(A) = 3/6 = 1/2, P(B) = 3/6 = 1/2
A∩B = {3}, so P(A∩B) = 1/6
P(A)·P(B) = (1/2)(1/2) = 1/4
Since 1/6 ≠ 1/4, A and B are NOT independent.
A and B are dependent events.
Question 6
A student appears in two exams. P(pass in Exam I) = 2/3, P(pass in Exam II) = 5/9. If P(pass in at least one) = 4/5, find P(pass in both).
Solution:
Using P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A∩B)
4/5 = 2/3 + 5/9 − P(A∩B)
4/5 = 6/9 + 5/9 − P(A∩B) = 11/9 − P(A∩B)
P(A∩B) = 11/9 − 4/5 = 55/45 − 36/45 = 19/45
P(pass in both) = 19/45
Question 7
In a class, 40% students study Mathematics (M) and 30% study Statistics (S). 10% study both. A student is selected randomly. Find P(M|S).
Solution:
P(M) = 0.4, P(S) = 0.3, P(M∩S) = 0.1
P(M|S) = P(M∩S)/P(S) = 0.1/0.3 = 1/3
P(M|S) = 1/3
Question 8
A box contains 3 defective and 7 non-defective items. Two items are drawn without replacement. Find P(2nd is defective | 1st is defective).
Solution:
If 1st drawn is defective, 2 defective remain out of 9 total items.
P(2nd defective | 1st defective) = 2/9
P(2nd defective | 1st defective) = 2/9
Question 9
A pair of dice is thrown. Given that the sum is greater than 8, find the probability that the sum is a perfect square.
Solution:
Event A: sum > 8 = {(3,6),(4,5),(5,4),(6,3),(4,6),(5,5),(6,4),(5,6),(6,5),(6,6)} → 10 outcomes
Event B: sum is a perfect square (9 or 16). Sum = 9: {(3,6),(4,5),(5,4),(6,3)} → 4 outcomes
A∩B = sum > 8 AND sum is perfect square = sum = 9: 4 outcomes
P(B|A) = P(A∩B)/P(A) = (4/36)/(10/36) = 4/10 = 2/5
P(sum is perfect square | sum > 8) = 2/5
Question 10
Three coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting: (i) exactly 2 heads, (ii) at least 2 heads.
Solution:
S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}; n(S) = 8
(i) Exactly 2 heads = {HHT, HTH, THH}; P = 3/8
(ii) At least 2 heads = {HHT, HTH, THH, HHH}; P = 4/8 = 1/2
(i) P = 3/8; (ii) P = 1/2

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Long Answer Questions with Complete Solutions

Practice 5-mark and higher-order questions

Question 1
A fair die is rolled twice. Find the probability of getting (i) a sum of 7, (ii) a sum of at least 10, (iii) a doublet.
Complete Solution:
Total outcomes = 6 × 6 = 36
(i) Sum = 7: {(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)} → 6 outcomes. P = 6/36 = 1/6
(ii) Sum ≥ 10: {(4,6),(5,5),(6,4),(5,6),(6,5),(6,6)} → 6 outcomes. P = 6/36 = 1/6
(iii) Doublets: {(1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6)} → 6 outcomes. P = 6/36 = 1/6
(i) 1/6; (ii) 1/6; (iii) 1/6
Question 2
A box contains 5 red and 3 blue balls. Two balls are drawn one at a time without replacement. Find: (i) P(both red), (ii) P(both blue), (iii) P(first red and second blue), (iv) P(second ball is blue).
Complete Solution:
(i) P(1st red) = 5/8; P(2nd red | 1st red) = 4/7
P(both red) = (5/8)(4/7) = 20/56 = 5/14
(ii) P(1st blue) = 3/8; P(2nd blue | 1st blue) = 2/7
P(both blue) = (3/8)(2/7) = 6/56 = 3/28
(iii) P(1st red, 2nd blue) = P(1st red) × P(2nd blue | 1st red) = (5/8)(3/7) = 15/56
(iv) P(2nd blue) = P(RB) + P(BB) = 15/56 + 6/56 = 21/56 = 3/8
(i) 5/14; (ii) 3/28; (iii) 15/56; (iv) 3/8
Question 3
A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Let A = card is a spade, B = card is a face card. Find P(A), P(B), P(A∩B), P(A∪B) and P(A|B).
Complete Solution:
P(A) = 13/52 = 1/4 (13 spades)
P(B) = 12/52 = 3/13 (12 face cards: J, Q, K × 4 suits)
A∩B = face cards that are spades = {J♠, Q♠, K♠} → P(A∩B) = 3/52
P(A∪B) = 13/52 + 12/52 − 3/52 = 22/52 = 11/26
P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = (3/52)/(12/52) = 3/12 = 1/4
P(A)=1/4; P(B)=3/13; P(A∩B)=3/52; P(A∪B)=11/26; P(A|B)=1/4
Question 4
A coin is tossed three times. Events are defined as: A = at least two heads, B = at most two heads, C = first toss is head. Find: (i) P(A|B), (ii) P(B|C), (iii) Are A and C independent?
Complete Solution:
S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}; n(S) = 8
A = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH}: 4 outcomes; B = {HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}: 7 outcomes; C = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT}: 4 outcomes
(i) A∩B = {HHT, HTH, THH}: 3 outcomes
P(A|B) = (3/8)/(7/8) = 3/7
(ii) B∩C = {HHT, HTH, HTT}: 3 outcomes
P(B|C) = (3/8)/(4/8) = 3/4
(iii) A∩C = {HHH, HHT, HTH}: 3 outcomes; P(A∩C) = 3/8
P(A)·P(C) = (4/8)(4/8) = 16/64 = 1/4 = 2/8
Since 3/8 ≠ 2/8, A and C are NOT independent.
(i) P(A|B) = 3/7; (ii) P(B|C) = 3/4; (iii) A and C are dependent.
Question 5
Three students A, B, C independently try to solve a problem. Their probabilities of solving it are 1/3, 1/4, and 1/5 respectively. Find the probability that: (i) all three solve it, (ii) none of them solves it, (iii) at least one of them solves it, (iv) exactly two of them solve it.
Complete Solution:
P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/4, P(C) = 1/5; P(A') = 2/3, P(B') = 3/4, P(C') = 4/5
(i) P(all three) = P(A)·P(B)·P(C) = (1/3)(1/4)(1/5) = 1/60
(ii) P(none) = P(A')·P(B')·P(C') = (2/3)(3/4)(4/5) = 24/60 = 2/5
(iii) P(at least one) = 1 − P(none) = 1 − 2/5 = 3/5
(iv) P(exactly two) = P(A)P(B)P(C') + P(A)P(B')P(C) + P(A')P(B)P(C)
= (1/3)(1/4)(4/5) + (1/3)(3/4)(1/5) + (2/3)(1/4)(1/5)
= 4/60 + 3/60 + 2/60 = 9/60 = 3/20
(i) 1/60; (ii) 2/5; (iii) 3/5; (iv) 3/20
Question 6
From a lot of 30 bulbs with 6 defective, 4 bulbs are drawn at random one by one without replacement. Find the probability that none is defective.
Complete Solution:
P(1st non-defective) = 24/30
P(2nd ND | 1st ND) = 23/29; P(3rd ND | 1st, 2nd ND) = 22/28; P(4th ND | 1st, 2nd, 3rd ND) = 21/27
P(none defective) = (24 × 23 × 22 × 21)/(30 × 29 × 28 × 27)
= 255024/657720 = 23/59.7 ≈ 0.388
P(none defective) = ²⁴C₄/³⁰C₄ = 10626/27405 ≈ 0.388
Question 7
A problem in mathematics is given to 3 students A, B, C whose chances of solving it are 1/2, 1/3 and 1/4 respectively. Find the probability that (i) the problem is solved, (ii) exactly one solves it.
Complete Solution:
P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3, P(C) = 1/4; P(A') = 1/2, P(B') = 2/3, P(C') = 3/4
(i) P(not solved) = P(A')·P(B')·P(C') = (1/2)(2/3)(3/4) = 6/24 = 1/4
P(solved) = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4
(ii) P(exactly one solves) = P(A)·P(B')·P(C') + P(A')·P(B)·P(C') + P(A')·P(B')·P(C)
= (1/2)(2/3)(3/4) + (1/2)(1/3)(3/4) + (1/2)(2/3)(1/4)
= 6/24 + 3/24 + 2/24 = 11/24
(i) P(solved) = 3/4; (ii) P(exactly one) = 11/24
Question 8
In an examination, 30% students failed in Physics, 25% in Mathematics, and 10% in both. A student is selected at random. Find the probability that: (i) she failed in Physics or Maths, (ii) she failed in Physics given she failed in Maths.
Complete Solution:
P(P) = 0.30, P(M) = 0.25, P(P∩M) = 0.10
(i) P(P∪M) = 0.30 + 0.25 − 0.10 = 0.45
(ii) P(P|M) = P(P∩M)/P(M) = 0.10/0.25 = 2/5 = 0.4
(i) P(P or M) = 0.45; (ii) P(P | M) = 0.4
Question 9
In a class of 60 students, 30 opted for NCC, 32 opted for NSS and 24 opted for both. If one of these students is selected at random, find the probability that: (i) the student opted for NCC or NSS, (ii) the student opted for NSS given they opted for NCC, (iii) the student opted for NCC given they opted for NSS, (iv) the student opted for exactly one of NCC or NSS.
Complete Solution:
P(NCC) = 30/60 = 1/2; P(NSS) = 32/60 = 8/15; P(NCC∩NSS) = 24/60 = 2/5
(i) P(NCC∪NSS) = 1/2 + 8/15 − 2/5 = 15/30 + 16/30 − 12/30 = 19/30
(ii) P(NSS|NCC) = P(NCC∩NSS)/P(NCC) = (2/5)/(1/2) = 4/5
(iii) P(NCC|NSS) = P(NCC∩NSS)/P(NSS) = (2/5)/(8/15) = (2/5)×(15/8) = 3/4
(iv) P(exactly one) = P(NCC∪NSS) − P(NCC∩NSS) = 19/30 − 2/5 = 19/30 − 12/30 = 7/30
(i) 19/30; (ii) 4/5; (iii) 3/4; (iv) 7/30
Question 10
A and B are two independent events. The probability that A occurs is 1/4 and the probability that B occurs is 2/5. Find: (i) P(A∩B), (ii) P(A∪B), (iii) P(A|B), (iv) P(A'∩B'), (v) P(A'∪B').
Complete Solution:
P(A) = 1/4, P(B) = 2/5, P(A') = 3/4, P(B') = 3/5
(i) Since A, B independent: P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B) = (1/4)(2/5) = 2/20 = 1/10
(ii) P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A∩B) = 1/4 + 2/5 − 1/10 = 5/20 + 8/20 − 2/20 = 11/20
(iii) P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = (1/10)/(2/5) = (1/10)×(5/2) = 1/4 = P(A) ✓ (confirms independence)
(iv) A' and B' are also independent: P(A'∩B') = P(A')·P(B') = (3/4)(3/5) = 9/20
(v) P(A'∪B') = 1 − P(A∩B) = 1 − 1/10 = 9/10
(i) 1/10; (ii) 11/20; (iii) 1/4; (iv) 9/20; (v) 9/10
📊

Case Studies

Real-world application based questions

Case Study 1
Card Drawing at a School Fair
At a school fair, a student picks one card at random from a well-shuffled deck of 52 playing cards. The event A is defined as "the card is a red card" and event B is defined as "the card is a face card" (Jack, Queen or King).
(i) What is P(A) and P(B)?
(a) P(A) = 1/4, P(B) = 3/13
(b) P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 3/13
(c) P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/4
(d) P(A) = 1/4, P(B) = 1/4
✓ Correct Answer: (b) P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 3/13
Solution:
Red cards = 26, so P(A) = 26/52 = 1/2.
Face cards = 12 (J, Q, K × 4 suits), so P(B) = 12/52 = 3/13.
(ii) Given the card drawn is a face card, what is the probability it is red?
(a) 1/4
(b) 3/26
(c) 1/2
(d) 6/13
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 1/2
Solution:
Red face cards = 6 (J♥, Q♥, K♥, J♦, Q♦, K♦).
P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B) = (6/52)/(12/52) = 6/12 = 1/2
(iii)(a) Are events A and B independent? Show working.
✓ Yes, A and B are independent
Solution:
P(A∩B) = 6/52 = 3/26
P(A)·P(B) = (1/2)(3/13) = 3/26
Since P(A∩B) = P(A)·P(B), events A and B are independent. Knowing the card is a face card does not change the probability that it is red.
(iii)(b) What is P(A∪B) — the probability of drawing a red card or a face card?
(a) 8/13
(b) 19/52
(c) 32/52
(d) 11/26
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 8/13
Solution:
P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A∩B) = 26/52 + 12/52 − 6/52 = 32/52 = 8/13
Case Study 2
Student Performance in Competitive Exams
A coaching institute has students preparing for two competitive exams — Exam X and Exam Y. The probability that a randomly selected student clears Exam X is 0.5 and Exam Y is 0.4. The probability of clearing both exams is 0.2. A student is selected at random.
(i) What is the probability that the student clears at least one exam?
(a) 0.5
(b) 0.6
(c) 0.7
(d) 0.9
✓ Correct Answer: (c) 0.7
Solution:
P(X∪Y) = P(X) + P(Y) − P(X∩Y) = 0.5 + 0.4 − 0.2 = 0.7
(ii) Given that the student cleared Exam X, what is the probability they also cleared Exam Y?
(a) 0.2
(b) 0.4
(c) 0.5
(d) 0.8
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 0.4
Solution:
P(Y|X) = P(X∩Y)/P(X) = 0.2/0.5 = 0.4
(iii)(a) Are events X and Y independent? Justify.
✓ Yes, X and Y ARE independent
Solution:
For independence, we check if P(X∩Y) = P(X)·P(Y).
P(X)·P(Y) = 0.5 × 0.4 = 0.20, and P(X∩Y) = 0.20 (given).
Since P(X∩Y) = P(X)·P(Y), events X and Y are independent. Clearing one exam does not affect the probability of clearing the other.
(iii)(b) What is the probability that the student cleared exactly one exam?
✓ P(exactly one) = 0.5
Solution:
P(exactly one) = P(X∪Y) − P(X∩Y) = 0.7 − 0.2 = 0.5
Or: P(X only) + P(Y only) = (0.5 − 0.2) + (0.4 − 0.2) = 0.3 + 0.2 = 0.5
Case Study 3
Bag of Coloured Balls — Sequential Draws
A bag contains 5 red, 4 white and 3 blue balls. Two balls are drawn one after the other without replacement. Use the multiplication theorem of conditional probability to answer the following questions.
(i) What is the probability that the first ball is red and the second is white?
(a) 5/33
(b) 20/132
(c) 5/12
(d) 4/11
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 5/33
Solution:
P(1st red) = 5/12; P(2nd white | 1st red) = 4/11
P(R then W) = (5/12)(4/11) = 20/132 = 5/33
(ii) What is the probability that both balls drawn are of the same colour?
(a) 19/66
(b) 5/22
(c) 7/22
(d) 1/6
✓ Correct Answer: (a) 19/66
Solution:
P(both red) = (5/12)(4/11) = 20/132
P(both white) = (4/12)(3/11) = 12/132
P(both blue) = (3/12)(2/11) = 6/132
P(same colour) = (20+12+6)/132 = 38/132 = 19/66
(iii)(a) Given that the second ball drawn is blue, what is the probability the first ball was also blue?
(a) 1/6
(b) 2/11
(c) 3/11
(d) 1/4
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 2/11
Solution:
P(2nd blue) = P(1st blue)·P(2nd blue|1st blue) + P(1st non-blue)·P(2nd blue|1st non-blue)
= (3/12)(2/11) + (9/12)(3/11) = 6/132 + 27/132 = 33/132 = 1/4
P(1st blue | 2nd blue) = P(both blue)/P(2nd blue) = (6/132)/(1/4) = (6/132)×4 = 24/132 = 2/11
(iii)(b) What is the probability that the two balls drawn are of different colours?
✓ P(different colours) = 47/66
Solution:
P(different colours) = 1 − P(same colour) = 1 − 19/66 = 47/66
Case Study 4
Conditional Probability in a School Election
In a school of 200 students, 120 are from Class XI and 80 are from Class XII. Among the Class XI students, 45 are in the Science stream and 75 are in the Commerce stream. Among Class XII students, 30 are in Science and 50 are in Commerce. A student is selected at random for a school council position.
(i) What is the probability that a randomly selected student is from Class XI?
(a) 2/5
(b) 3/5
(c) 1/2
(d) 7/10
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 3/5
Solution:
P(Class XI) = 120/200 = 3/5
(ii) Given that the selected student is in the Science stream, what is the probability they are from Class XI?
(a) 45/75
(b) 3/5
(c) 45/200
(d) 3/4
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 3/5
Solution:
Total Science students = 45 + 30 = 75
P(Class XI | Science) = 45/75 = 3/5
(iii)(a) Given that the selected student is from Class XI, what is the probability they are in the Commerce stream?
(a) 75/200
(b) 5/8
(c) 3/8
(d) 3/4
✓ Correct Answer: (b) 5/8
Solution:
P(Commerce | Class XI) = 75/120 = 5/8
(iii)(b) Are the events "student is from Class XI" and "student is in Science stream" independent? Justify.
✓ Yes, the two events are independent
Solution:
P(XI) = 120/200 = 3/5; P(Science) = 75/200 = 3/8
P(XI ∩ Science) = 45/200 = 9/40
P(XI) × P(Science) = (3/5)(3/8) = 9/40
Since P(XI ∩ Science) = P(XI) × P(Science), the events are independent. A student's class does not influence their likelihood of being in the Science stream in this school.

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