Unit 5: Inferential Statistics | Class 12 Applied Maths MCQs & Solutions | CBSE 2026-27 | Boundless Maths
Unit 5 of 8 5 Marks CBSE 2026–27 Inferential Statistics

Inferential Statistics
Unit 5 — Free Study Resources

CBSE Class 12 Applied Mathematics · Free MCQs, Assertion-Reason & Solved Examples

Everything you need to master Unit 5 — 14 interactive MCQs and Assertion-Reason questions with instant feedback, plus 12 fully worked short-answer examples. Covering Point Estimation, Confidence Intervals (95% & 99%), and the One-Sample t-Test. All content aligned to the CBSE 2026–27 syllabus and board exam pattern. Once you've attempted the questions and self-assessed your answers, tap ✨ My Report to see your personalised performance breakdown.

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Unit 5 · 5 Marks

Topics & Key Formulas

Three topics examined across MCQs and short-answer questions. Memorise the formulas below — they are directly tested every year.

Class 12 Applied Maths Unit 5 — Inferential Statistics Study Material

Unit 5 carries 5 marks in the CBSE Class 12 Applied Mathematics board exam. This page covers all three topics: Point Estimation, Confidence Intervals, and One-Sample t-Test.

You'll find 14 interactive MCQs and Assertion-Reason questions with complete explanations, plus 12 short-answer solved examples — all aligned to CBSE 2026-27.

Point EstimationConfidence IntervalsOne-Sample t-TestHypothesis Testingt-DistributionCBSE 2026–27

1. Point Estimation

Estimate unknown population parameters — mean and standard deviation — directly from sample data.

\(\bar{x} = \dfrac{\sum x_i}{n}\)
Sample mean = point estimate of μ
\(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{\sum(x_i-\bar{x})^2}{n-1}}\)
Sample SD = point estimate of σ

2. Confidence Intervals

Build a range estimate for the population mean at a specified confidence level (95% or 99%).

\(\mu = \bar{x} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\)
95%: Z = 1.96  |  99%: Z = 2.576

3. One-Sample t-Test

Test hypotheses about a population mean when σ is unknown, using t-distribution with ν = n − 1 degrees of freedom.

\(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}},\quad \nu = n-1\)
Reject H₀ if |t_calc| > t_critical
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Practice MCQs & Assertion-Reason — Unit 5

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Question 1Point Estimation
Which of the following is not part of the process of inferential statistics?
Estimating a parameter
Estimating a statistic
Testing a hypothesis
Analysing relationships
Inferential statistics draws conclusions about a population from sample data. Its core activities are estimating population parameters, testing hypotheses, and analysing relationships.

A statistic is already computed directly from the sample — it is already known. So estimating a statistic is not part of inferential statistics.

Key distinction: Parameter (population, unknown) vs Statistic (sample, known).
Question 2Point Estimation
Statement I: The mean of a population is denoted by \(\bar{x}\).
Statement II: The population mean is a statistic.
Which of the following is true?
Statement I only
Statement II only
Both I and II
Neither I nor II
Statement I — FALSE: Population mean is denoted by \(\mu\), not \(\bar{x}\). \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean.

Statement II — FALSE: Population mean \(\mu\) is a parameter (describes the whole population), not a statistic. Statistics describe samples.

Both statements are false → answer is Neither I nor II.
Question 3t-Test
What is the test statistic for a one-sample t-test?
\(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}\)
\(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/n}\)
\(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s^2/n}\)
\(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/n^2}\)
\[t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}\] where \(\bar{x}\) = sample mean, \(\mu\) = hypothesised population mean, \(s\) = sample SD, \(n\) = sample size.

The denominator \(s/\sqrt{n}\) is the standard error of the mean. Note \(\sqrt{n}\) in the denominator — not \(n\) or \(n^2\).
Question 4t-Test
For a t-test, a random sample of size \(n = 2026\) is drawn. What are the degrees of freedom \((\nu)\)?
\(2026^{2026}\)
\(2025^{2026}\)
\(2026\)
\(2025\)
Formula: Degrees of freedom for a one-sample t-test: \(\nu = n - 1\)

Given \(n = 2026\): \(\nu = 2026 - 1 = \mathbf{2025}\)

Why n − 1? We lose one degree of freedom because we estimate \(\mu\) using \(\bar{x}\) when computing the sample standard deviation \(s\).
Question 5Hypothesis Testing
What is the purpose of a null hypothesis?
To provide an alternative explanation for the data
To state that there is no significant difference or effect
To predict the outcome of the study
To provide a summary of the data
The null hypothesis \(H_0\) is a statement of no effect, no difference, or equality — the default assumption we attempt to disprove using sample evidence.

We either reject \(H_0\) (evidence is strong enough) or fail to reject \(H_0\) (evidence is insufficient), based on comparing the test statistic to the critical value.
Question 6Point Estimation
A grain wholesaler takes a handful of rice from different sacks to inspect quality. What is the handful taken from a sack called?
Statistic
Population
Parameter
Sample
Population = all rice in the sack.
Sample = the handful taken for inspection → this is the answer.

The wholesaler uses information from the sample to make inferences about the quality of the entire sack (the population).
Question 7Point Estimation
A population consists of four observations 1, 3, 5, 7. What is the variance?
2
4
5
6
Step 1 — Population mean: \(\mu = \dfrac{1+3+5+7}{4} = 4\)

Step 2 — Squared deviations:
\((1-4)^2 = 9,\quad (3-4)^2 = 1,\quad (5-4)^2 = 1,\quad (7-4)^2 = 9\)

Step 3 — Population variance (divide by N, not N−1):
\(\sigma^2 = \dfrac{9+1+1+9}{4} = \dfrac{20}{4} = \mathbf{5}\)

Key: For a population divide by \(N\). For a sample divide by \(n-1\).
Question 8Point Estimation
Which is the true relation between sample mean \(\bar{x}\) and population mean \(\mu\)?
\(|\bar{x} - \mu|\) increases as sample size increases
\(\bar{x} = \mu\) for all sample sizes
\(|\bar{x} - \mu|\) decreases as sample size decreases
\(|\bar{x} - \mu|\) decreases as sample size increases
As sample size \(n\) increases, \(\bar{x}\) becomes a more accurate estimate of \(\mu\) — this is the Law of Large Numbers.

The standard error \(\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\) also decreases as \(n\) increases, so the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\) concentrates around \(\mu\), meaning \(|\bar{x} - \mu|\) decreases.
Question 9Point Estimation
A simple random sample of 2, 4, 6, 7, 6 is drawn. What is the point estimate of the population standard deviation?
4
2.5
5
2
Step 1 — Sample mean: \(\bar{x} = \dfrac{2+4+6+7+6}{5} = 5\)

Step 2 — Squared deviations:
\((2-5)^2 = 9,\; (4-5)^2 = 1,\; (6-5)^2 = 1,\; (7-5)^2 = 4,\; (6-5)^2 = 1\)
Sum \(= 16\)

Step 3 — Sample SD (divide by n−1 = 4):
\(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{16}{4}} = \sqrt{4} = \mathbf{2}\)
Question 10t-Test
Given \(H_0: \mu \geq 20\) and \(H_1: \mu < 20\), a sample of 64 gives \(\bar{x} = 19.5\) with population \(\sigma = 2\). What is the test statistic?
\(-2.5\)
\(-2\)
\(2\)
\(-1.5\)
\[t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{19.5 - 20}{2/\sqrt{64}} = \frac{-0.5}{0.25} = \mathbf{-2}\] Since \(H_1: \mu < 20\), this is a left-tailed test. The negative t-value confirms the sample mean falls below the hypothesised mean.
Question 11t-Test
A machine makes car wheels. In a sample of 26 wheels, the t-test statistic is 3.07. At the 5% significance level, what can be concluded about the quality of the wheels? [Given \(t_{25}(0.05) = 2.06\)]
Superior quality
Inferior quality
Same quality
Cannot say
Degrees of freedom: \(\nu = 26 - 1 = 25\)
Calculated \(|t| = 3.07\); Critical value \(= t_{25}(0.05) = 2.06\)

Since \(3.07 > 2.06\), we reject \(H_0\) (assumed standard/equal quality).

The positive t-value indicates the sample mean exceeds the standard → Superior quality.
Question 12Confidence Intervals
Under what condition does the sampling distribution of the sample mean, as stated by the Central Limit Theorem, approach a normal distribution?
All possible samples are selected
Sample size is large
Sample size is small
None of the above
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) states that when \(n\) is sufficiently large (typically \(n \geq 30\)), the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\) is approximately normal, regardless of the original population's distribution.

This is why large-sample inference uses the standard normal (z) distribution — the CLT guarantees approximate normality.

📋 Assertion-Reason Questions (Q13–Q14)

  • (a) Both A and R are True and R is the correct explanation of A
  • (b) Both A and R are True but R is not the correct explanation of A
  • (c) A is True but R is False
  • (d) A is False but R is True
Q13 — Assertion-ReasonPoint Estimation
Assertion (A): For the simple random sample 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, the point estimate of the population standard deviation is \(\sqrt{10}\).

Reason (R): Sample standard deviation of \(n\) observations: \(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n}}\)
(a) Both A and R true; R correctly explains A
(b) Both A and R true; R does NOT correctly explain A
(c) A is True but R is False
(d) A is False but R is True
Checking A:
\(\bar{x} = \dfrac{2+4+6+8+10}{5} = 6\)
\(\sum(x_i-\bar{x})^2 = 16+4+0+4+16 = 40\)
\(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{40}{5-1}} = \sqrt{10}\) → A is TRUE

Checking R:
R uses \(n\) in the denominator — this is the population standard deviation formula. The correct sample SD formula divides by \((n-1)\), not \(n\) → R is FALSE

Answer: (c) A is True but R is False.
Q14 — Assertion-Reasont-Test
Assertion (A): A one-sample t-test is used to compare the mean of a sample to a known population mean.

Reason (R): The population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small.
(a) Both A and R true; R correctly explains A
(b) Both A and R true; R does NOT correctly explain A
(c) A is True but R is False
(d) A is False but R is True
A is TRUE: A one-sample t-test compares \(\bar{x}\) from the sample to a hypothesised \(\mu\).

R is TRUE and explains A: We use the t-distribution (not z) precisely because \(\sigma\) is unknown and we estimate it using \(s\), especially when \(n\) is small. Both conditions in R — unknown \(\sigma\) and small \(n\) — are the exact reasons we choose a t-test over a z-test.

Answer: (a) Both true; R correctly explains A.
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Short Answer — Complete Solutions

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Question 1Point Estimation
A sample is drawn: 5, 8, 10, 7, 10, 14. Find (i) the point estimate of the population mean, and (ii) the point estimate of the population standard deviation.
Given: \(n = 6\), data = 5, 8, 10, 7, 10, 14
(i) Point estimate of population mean = sample mean \(\bar{x}\)
\(\bar{x} = \dfrac{5+8+10+7+10+14}{6} = \dfrac{54}{6} = 9\)
(ii) Point estimate of population SD = sample SD \(s\)
Deviations from \(\bar{x}=9\):
\((5-9)^2=16,\;(8-9)^2=1,\;(10-9)^2=1,\;(7-9)^2=4,\;(10-9)^2=1,\;(14-9)^2=25\)
Sum \(= 48\)
\(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{48}{5}} = \sqrt{9.6} \approx 3.10\)
(i) Point estimate of \(\mu = \mathbf{9}\)  |  (ii) Point estimate of \(\sigma \approx \mathbf{3.10}\)
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Question 2Confidence Intervals
The boiling temperatures (°C) recorded for 6 samples are 102.5, 101.7, 103.1, 100.9, 100.5, and 102.2, with a procedure standard deviation of 1.2°C. Find the 95% confidence interval for the population mean.
Given: \(n=6,\; \sigma=1.2\)
\(\bar{x} = \dfrac{102.5+101.7+103.1+100.9+100.5+102.2}{6} = \dfrac{610.9}{6} \approx 101.82\)
For 95% CI: \(Z_{0.025} = 1.96\)
Margin of error: \(E = 1.96 \times \dfrac{1.2}{\sqrt{6}} = 1.96 \times 0.490 \approx 0.96\)
CI: \(\mu = 101.82 \pm 0.96\)
95% Confidence Interval: (100.86, 102.78)°C
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Question 3Confidence Intervals
A random sample of 10 students has a mean height of 5.6 ft and a standard deviation of 0.75 ft. Find (i) the 95% confidence limits, and (ii) the 99% confidence limits for the average height of all students.
[Use \(t_9(0.05) = 2.262\); \(t_9(0.01) = 3.250\)]
Given: \(\bar{x}=5.6,\; s=0.75,\; n=10,\; \nu=9\)
Standard error: \(\dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \dfrac{0.75}{\sqrt{10}} \approx 0.237\)
(i) 95% Confidence Limits
\(E = 2.262 \times 0.237 \approx 0.536\)  →  CI: \(5.6 \pm 0.536\)
(ii) 99% Confidence Limits
\(E = 3.250 \times 0.237 \approx 0.770\)  →  CI: \(5.6 \pm 0.770\)
(i) 95% CI: (5.064, 6.136) ft
(ii) 99% CI: (4.830, 6.370) ft
Note: the 99% interval is wider — more confidence requires a wider range.
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Question 4t-Test
For \(H_0: \mu \leq 12\) and \(H_a: \mu > 12\), a sample of 25 gives \(\bar{x} = 14\) and \(s = 4.32\). (i) Compute the test statistic. (ii) State the rejection rule and conclusion. [Given \(t_{24}(0.05) = 1.711\)]
Given: \(\bar{x}=14,\; \mu_0=12,\; s=4.32,\; n=25,\; \nu=24\). Right-tailed test.
(i) Test Statistic
\[t = \frac{14-12}{4.32/\sqrt{25}} = \frac{2}{0.864} \approx 2.31\]
(ii) Rejection Rule and Conclusion
For a right-tailed test: Reject \(H_0\) if \(t_{\text{calc}} > t_{\text{critical}} = 1.711\).
Since \(2.31 > 1.711\), we reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that \(\mu > 12\).
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Question 5Point Estimation
A sample is drawn: 3, 6, 9, 12, 15. Find (i) the point estimate of \(\mu\), and (ii) the point estimate of \(\sigma\).
\(n=5,\; \bar{x} = \dfrac{3+6+9+12+15}{5} = 9\)
Squared deviations: \((3-9)^2=36,\;(6-9)^2=9,\;(9-9)^2=0,\;(12-9)^2=9,\;(15-9)^2=36\). Sum \(= 90\)
\(s = \sqrt{\dfrac{90}{4}} = \sqrt{22.5} \approx 4.74\)
(i) \(\hat{\mu} = \bar{x} = \mathbf{9}\)  |  (ii) \(\hat{\sigma} = s \approx \mathbf{4.74}\)
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Question 6Confidence Intervals
A sample of 16 observations has mean 41.5 and SD 2.5. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean. [\(t_{15}(0.01) = 2.947\)]
Given: \(\bar{x}=41.5,\; s=2.5,\; n=16,\; \nu=15\)
Standard error: \(\dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \dfrac{2.5}{4} = 0.625\)
\(E = 2.947 \times 0.625 \approx 1.842\)
CI: \(\mu = 41.5 \pm 1.842\)
99% Confidence Interval: (39.66, 43.34)
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Question 7t-Test
A shoe manufacturer claims the average shoe size is 7. A sample of 12 shoes gives \(\bar{x}=7.5\), \(s=1.2\). Test the claim at the 5% level. [\(t_{11}(0.05) = 2.201\)]
\(H_0: \mu = 7\) vs \(H_1: \mu \neq 7\) (two-tailed). Given: \(\bar{x}=7.5,\; s=1.2,\; n=12,\; \nu=11\).
\(t = \dfrac{7.5 - 7}{1.2/\sqrt{12}} = \dfrac{0.5}{0.346} \approx 1.44\)
Critical value (two-tailed, 5%): \(t_{11}(0.05) = 2.201\)
Since \(|1.44| < 2.201\), we fail to reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence to reject the manufacturer's claim at the 5% level.
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Question 8t-Test
Standard iron rods should be 5 cm. A sample of 9 rods gives \(\bar{x}=4.85\) cm, \(s=0.30\) cm. Test whether the production is satisfactory at 5% significance. [\(t_8(0.05) = 2.306\)]
\(H_0: \mu = 5\) vs \(H_1: \mu \neq 5\) (two-tailed). \(\bar{x}=4.85,\; s=0.30,\; n=9,\; \nu=8\).
\(t = \dfrac{4.85 - 5}{0.30/\sqrt{9}} = \dfrac{-0.15}{0.10} = -1.5\)
\(|t| = 1.5 < 2.306\) → Fail to reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: Production is satisfactory — the mean rod length does not significantly differ from 5 cm at the 5% level.
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Question 9t-Test
Before a sales campaign, monthly sales (₹ lakhs) averaged 250. After the campaign, a sample of 10 months gives \(\bar{x}=268\) and \(s=30\). Did the campaign increase sales? Test at 5%. [\(t_9(0.05)=1.833\) for one-tailed]
\(H_0: \mu \leq 250\) vs \(H_1: \mu > 250\) (right-tailed). \(\bar{x}=268,\;\mu_0=250,\; s=30,\; n=10,\; \nu=9\).
\(t = \dfrac{268-250}{30/\sqrt{10}} = \dfrac{18}{9.487} \approx 1.897\)
Since \(1.897 > 1.833\), we reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: The sales campaign significantly increased monthly sales at the 5% significance level.
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Question 10t-Test
A copper wire has a claimed tensile strength of \(\mu_0 = 60\) kg. A sample of 9 wires gives \(\bar{x}=57\) kg and \(s=6\) kg. Test the claim at the 1% significance level. [\(t_8(0.01)=3.355\) two-tailed]
\(H_0: \mu=60\) vs \(H_1: \mu \neq 60\). \(\bar{x}=57,\;\mu_0=60,\; s=6,\; n=9,\; \nu=8\).
\(t = \dfrac{57-60}{6/\sqrt{9}} = \dfrac{-3}{2} = -1.5\)
\(|t|=1.5 < 3.355\) → Fail to reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: The claim of tensile strength 60 kg is acceptable at the 1% significance level.
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Question 11t-Test
A manufacturer claims batteries last 200 hours. A random sample of 8 batteries gives \(\bar{x}=195\) hours, \(s=12\) hours. Test at 5% significance. [\(t_7(0.05)=2.365\) two-tailed]
\(H_0: \mu=200\) vs \(H_1: \mu \neq 200\). \(\bar{x}=195,\; s=12,\; n=8,\; \nu=7\).
\(t = \dfrac{195-200}{12/\sqrt{8}} = \dfrac{-5}{4.243} \approx -1.179\)
\(|t|=1.179 < 2.365\) → Fail to reject \(H_0\).
Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence at the 5% level to reject the manufacturer's claim of 200-hour battery life.
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Question 12Confidence Intervals
A class of 25 students has mean exam score 72 with SD 8. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean score. [\(t_{24}(0.05)=2.064\)]
Given: \(\bar{x}=72,\; s=8,\; n=25,\; \nu=24\)
Standard error: \(\dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \dfrac{8}{5} = 1.6\)
\(E = 2.064 \times 1.6 \approx 3.30\)
CI: \(\mu = 72 \pm 3.30\)
95% Confidence Interval for mean score: (68.70, 75.30)
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Exam Tips — Unit 5

How to score full marks in Unit 5 — mistakes to avoid and strategies that work.

✅ Tip 1

Always use \(n-1\) in the denominator when computing sample standard deviation. The most common board exam mistake is dividing by \(n\) instead of \((n-1)\) when computing \(s\). We lose one degree of freedom because we estimate \(\mu\) using \(\bar{x}\). This applies for both point estimation questions and t-test calculations. Writing \(n\) in the denominator (the population formula) in a sample context will cost marks.

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Common Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

Answers to questions students frequently ask about Class 12 Applied Maths Unit 5.

A parameter describes a characteristic of a population — for example, population mean \(\mu\) and population SD \(\sigma\). Parameters are usually unknown. A statistic is computed from sample data — for example, sample mean \(\bar{x}\) and sample SD \(s\). We use statistics as point estimates of the unknown population parameters.
A confidence interval is a range \((\bar{x}-E,\;\bar{x}+E)\) likely to contain the true population parameter. A 95% CI means: if we repeated the experiment many times, about 95% of resulting intervals would contain the true \(\mu\). The interval is \(\mu = \bar{x} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\), where \(Z=1.96\) for 95% and \(Z=2.576\) for 99%.
Use a t-test when: (1) the population SD \(\sigma\) is unknown, and (2) the sample size is small (typically \(n<30\)). We substitute \(s\) for \(\sigma\) and the test statistic follows a t-distribution with \(\nu=n-1\) degrees of freedom.
Use a z-test when \(\sigma\) is known or when \(n\) is large enough that the CLT applies.
\[t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}}\] where \(\bar{x}\) = sample mean, \(\mu_0\) = hypothesised population mean, \(s\) = sample SD, \(n\) = sample size. Degrees of freedom: \(\nu = n-1\). Compare \(|t_{\text{calc}}|\) with \(t_{\text{critical}}\) from the t-table at the given significance level.
A Type I error (\(\alpha\)) occurs when we reject a true null hypothesis — a false positive. The probability equals the significance level \(\alpha\) (e.g., 5%).
A Type II error (\(\beta\)) occurs when we fail to reject a false null hypothesis — a false negative.
Unit 5: Inferential Statistics carries 5 marks in the CBSE Class 12 Applied Mathematics board examination. Questions appear as 1-mark MCQs, 2–3 mark short answers and a longer problem on confidence intervals or the t-test.
A two-tailed test is used when \(H_1: \mu \neq \mu_0\) — the mean could be higher or lower. Rejection region splits equally on both sides.
A one-tailed test is used when \(H_1: \mu > \mu_0\) (right-tailed) or \(H_1: \mu < \mu_0\) (left-tailed).
Always identify the direction of \(H_1\) first, then choose the correct critical value from the t-table.
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